| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | Central Connecticut State | 59-13 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 36.5% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | L | Syracuse | 20-27 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 18.7% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | L | Delaware | 41-44 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 94.8% |
| 5 | Sep 20 2025 | W | Ball State | 31-25 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 75.6% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | W | Buffalo | 20-17 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 44.3% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | W | Florida International | 51-10 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 36.5% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | W | Boston College | 38-23 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 33.3% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | L | Rice | 34-37 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 66.1% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | W | UAB | 38-19 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 75.3% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | W | Duke | 37-34 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 18.6% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | W | Air Force | 26-16 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 45.0% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | W | Florida Atlantic | 48-45 | 1403.5 | +0.0 | 1403.5 | 82.4% |